F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x673e96007a827d1a461ede7f238787bd56388fa26f9ca34249abc85f08a40ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,303 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked No | 73c | 808.42$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 646$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes | 16c | 565.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…d862backed No | 76c | 264.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 33c | 153.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…5cb1backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 24c | 149.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Yes | 42c | 122.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 43c | 117.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 63c | 112.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 111.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 12c | 104.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 69c | 103.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ef…6017backed Yes | 29c | 102.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…c069backed Yes | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3b6fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 22c | 89.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…15e7backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…a715backed No | 79c | 80.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 18c | 74.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…907cbacked Yes | 41c | 72.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed Yes | 28c | 71.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…8e4dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…0572backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…c63dbacked No | 77c | 64.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…d53abacked Yes | 27c | 61.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…90edbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 69c | 51.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 67c | 48.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…95d0backed Yes | 36c | 46.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 68c | 42.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x053a…b6d6backed Yes | 28c | 40.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…328fbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…19f2backed No | 73c | 34.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…2749backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…4554backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ab…c831backed Yes | 38c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 65c | 26.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…c56cbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…64d3backed No | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…b1e0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?this page
- Will McLaren double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Racing double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.