NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd8f5eb2a3fb485fe1c1611b173ee12a54caf659e0bef124398c221eb9e4bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 72c | 20,851$15,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.24 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Pistons | 14c | 10,784$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 60c | 9,907$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.04 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Pistons | 50c | 8,809$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Pistons | 41c | 8,191$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Rockets | 50c | 7,274$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 32c | 3,875$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.68 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Pistons | 41c | 2,687$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Rockets | 63c | 2,579$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…8d2ebacked Rockets | 62c | 2,500$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…c557backed Rockets | 53c | 2,449$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Pistons | 37c | 2,109$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 23c | 1,888$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…d09ebacked Pistons | 37c | 1,618$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 70c | 1,380$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 40c | 1,372$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.08 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Rockets | 54c | 1,237$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.7 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Rockets | 63c | 1,231$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Rockets | 61c | 1,216$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Rockets | 62c | 999.63$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Pistons | 5c | 899.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…7651backed Rockets | 64c | 893.64$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Pistons | 45c | 892.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Pistons | 42c | 826.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ecacbacked Rockets | 63c | 790.38$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Pistons | 38c | 726.38$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Rockets | 61c | 726$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons | 50c | 715.2$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Rockets | 63c | 677.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Rockets | 61c | 667$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pistons | 34c | 590$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Pistons | 27c | 584.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Pistons | 35c | 571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Rockets | 62c | 570.61$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…c721backed Pistons | 44c | 508.97$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pistons | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons | 38c | 449$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 4c | 436.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Pistons | 36c | 392.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Pistons | 31c | 358.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Pistons | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons | 30c | 329.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Rockets | 74c | 314.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Rockets | 70c | 312.51$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Rockets | 61c | 311.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Pistons | 38c | 304.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed Pistons | 18c | 279.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Rockets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Rockets | 64c | 234.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Rockets | 74c | 226.02$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pistons | 31c | 221$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…9ef4backed Pistons | 11c | 215.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Rockets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Rockets | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Rockets | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Rockets | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons | 41c | 199.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…f260backed Rockets | 62c | 196.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…aa04backed Pistons | 40c | 196.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Pistons | 45c | 186.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Pistons | 38c | 183.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Pistons | 38c | 180.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Pistons | 41c | 170.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Pistons | 38c | 161.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed Rockets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…6d92backed Rockets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Rockets | 60c | 156.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Pistons | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Rockets | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…0e8bbacked Rockets | 73c | 138.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…d689backed Rockets | 64c | 126.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…d785backed Pistons | 40c | 125.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Pistons | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Pistons | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…7aacbacked Rockets | 62c | 123.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Pistons | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…32ebbacked Rockets | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…022dbacked Pistons | 19c | 106.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…10cbbacked Rockets | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6aefbacked Pistons | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked Rockets | 50c | 101.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…df9dbacked Pistons | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Pistons | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2650backed Rockets | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Pistons | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Pistons | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…845cbacked Pistons | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…b922backed Pistons | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…56ebbacked Rockets | 62c | 98.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb59e…3efdbacked Pistons | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…9a10backed Rockets | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…fed2backed Pistons | 33c | 92.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…ebc9backed Pistons | 37c | 89.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…9ba3backed Rockets | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcf…1d5bbacked Rockets | 67c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…4659backed Rockets | 67c | 84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…ccd9backed Rockets | 67c | 84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…7298backed Pistons | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.