TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No26c1,647$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3362539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes75c977.65$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4276821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No27c790.53$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0114015.7%22 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes46c746.33$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7427920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb280…35abbacked Yes25c600.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.62825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes41c585.03$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No4c464.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.457727.3%21 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7c…487ebacked No28c415.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7112232.8%40 W · 82 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfac…490fbacked Yes57c405.84$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.847466.2%49 W · 25 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes56c396.87$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2679735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes41c393.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1137830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No41c350.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7234039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes55c299.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8225023.2%58 W · 192 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes44c293.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8125127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes49c291.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.832,54513.2%335 W · 2,210 L+4.9wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…3833backed Yes71c290.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.092934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes51c290.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6931743.2%137 W · 180 L+28.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No74c273.87$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No41c260.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.997556%42 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…c2ecbacked Yes45c235.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.595837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5e…332ebacked No57c200.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.262035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes68c200.2$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.679636.5%35 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11544227.4%121 W · 321 L-21.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.99058.9%53 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked No51c176.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904560%27 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No73c175$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2530%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No29c163.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1631565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes40c150.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.834127.3%93 W · 248 L+1.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0936018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes57c149.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick52cpaid+62.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes52c149.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8224732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes71c141.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.347544%33 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No60c139$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8126167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdca…badabacked Yes47c137.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1610131.7%32 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed No22c136$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.925121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No22c131.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8339518.7%74 W · 321 L-57.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes44c130.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.773756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No54c128.34$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8751845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes24c128$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6940016.8%67 W · 333 L-0.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes56c111.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3515430.5%47 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed Yes49c108.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7419527.7%54 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes49c107$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1510024%24 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No41c103.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4824932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes54c101.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8352619.8%104 W · 422 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e43…b356backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.617818.5%33 W · 145 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2806…05ddbacked No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No54c99.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6551018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No21c96.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0940519.8%80 W · 325 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f21…b935backed Yes38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.111526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784d…4ecdbacked Yes75c88.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+96.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb006…bddcbacked Yes39c85.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.264447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes40c79.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.459225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes38c78.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1219550.3%98 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes60c77.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1814153.9%76 W · 65 L+13.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed No35c77.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.36329.4%3 W · 29 L-7.7wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-84.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes53c67.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9450828.3%144 W · 364 L+1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes20c60.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.724798.6%41 W · 438 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x337f…2c4ebacked Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.94420.5%9 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes30c57.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2123321%49 W · 184 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes48c53.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.713119.1%25 W · 106 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes59c45.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.799619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf660…c98abacked Yes40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed Yes45c44.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.671384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ecf…4455backed Yes47c44.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.821435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e97…4828backed Yes46c44.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.056627.3%18 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed Yes54c44.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.261526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed No45c39.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed No54c35.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1213031.5%41 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…01b9backed Yes66c33.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.571283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed No48c33.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae01…0c40backed No42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.726461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes71c29.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4738828.6%111 W · 277 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…4d43backed No38c29.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No43c26.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.432231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fb…4b6ebacked Yes71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585a…4eebbacked Yes60c24.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13c…375dbacked Yes67c23.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No80c22.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810838.9%42 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7518…017bbacked Yes63c22.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35e…b75bbacked Yes70c21.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.