Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1012a66182674c4caead803e8a0384a6a1b0f55d5c657bc7013cd1237839c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17be…0dc8backed Yes | 2c | 72,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,849$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.79 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 977.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 19c | 831.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 11c | 741.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 16c | 695.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 481.23$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…35abbacked Yes | 24c | 417.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 20c | 336.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 80c | 308.6$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 75c | 306.93$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 78c | 264.77$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 9c | 253.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 248.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…40edbacked No | 79c | 233.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 76c | 221.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 27c | 219.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 27c | 215.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 202.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 165.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 11c | 154.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 21c | 124.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 31c | 122.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 119.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…10dabacked Yes | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 28c | 116.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 14c | 112.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 111.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…117abacked Yes | 14c | 104$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d2e3backed Yes | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 21c | 97.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…a119backed Yes | 14c | 97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 72c | 95.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…3830backed Yes | 14c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 15c | 87.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 30c | 79.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 75.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…2c4ebacked Yes | 25c | 73.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…f58bbacked No | 80c | 69.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 66.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed No | 79c | 44.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 72c | 37.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c1…c55fbacked No | 79c | 30.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe789…d66abacked No | 72c | 28.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…d344backed No | 80c | 21.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.