CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d79966cf485c7c7a614d8a9586097b4b49ab98bf76f0bbc4f5e03346863634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Bebop | 67c | 1,396$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.59 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Ares | 52c | 1,176$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Bebop | 57c | 1,147$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.49 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Bebop | 54c | 1,115$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.15 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed G2 Ares | 27c | 974.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.81 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Bebop | 62c | 871.67$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.22 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed G2 Ares | 40c | 741.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.24 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked G2 Ares | 29c | 713.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.89 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 42c | 605.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed Bebop | 73c | 594.42$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 Ares | 61c | 514$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed G2 Ares | 46c | 481.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…30a9backed G2 Ares | 45c | 406.71$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed G2 Ares | 46c | 394.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 39c | 360$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Bebop | 52c | 341.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop | 33c | 337.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Bebop | 55c | 316.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked G2 Ares | 48c | 312.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 39c | 303.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 33c | 291.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Bebop | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed G2 Ares | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 226$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bebop | 25c | 218.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 213.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed G2 Ares | 18c | 190$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Bebop | 60c | 176.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Bebop | 55c | 174.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Bebop | 20c | 168.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Bebop | 68c | 157.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 155.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…6815backed G2 Ares | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed G2 Ares | 54c | 154$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Bebop | 56c | 142.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c88bbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 124.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Bebop | 45c | 121$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 31c | 105.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bebop | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Bebop | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed G2 Ares | 21c | 89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bebop | 33c | 86.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bebop | 48c | 82.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bebop | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 74.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Bebop | 21c | 64.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bebop | 55c | 58.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 57.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Bebop | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed G2 Ares | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 39.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Bebop | 43c | 39.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 31c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 38.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bebop | 43c | 33.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed G2 Ares | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Bebop | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bebop | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…6d3fbacked Bebop | 73c | 23.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Bebop | 68c | 22.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed G2 Ares | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed G2 Ares | 56c | 18.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed Bebop | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.