CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304e0b020e0bdc6bae5702586889958de62520aa8e2046e73ed096535a8895ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee82…bd96backed G2 Ares | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 33c | 945.95$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed G2 Ares | 80c | 599.43$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked G2 Ares | 51c | 546.83$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed G2 Ares | 66c | 524.61$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…81c0backed Bebop | 22c | 500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 Ares | 61c | 480$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 39c | 480$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked G2 Ares | 64c | 472.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed G2 Ares | 72c | 414.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 34c | 383.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Bebop | 31c | 368.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked G2 Ares | 56c | 349.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked G2 Ares | 72c | 334.89$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Bebop | 36c | 308.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked G2 Ares | 78c | 301.27$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 239.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bebop | 53c | 239.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 228$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Bebop | 33c | 224.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Bebop | 26c | 193.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Bebop | 52c | 188.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 174.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Bebop | 20c | 172.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Bebop | 20c | 167.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed G2 Ares | 61c | 164.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed G2 Ares | 74c | 164.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 58c | 163.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Bebop | 52c | 153.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Bebop | 67c | 146.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bebop | 31c | 141$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Bebop | 14c | 123.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Bebop | 38c | 110.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 34c | 107.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Bebop | 31c | 106.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Bebop | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked G2 Ares | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Bebop | 17c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…210ebacked G2 Ares | 71c | 92.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Bebop | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Bebop | 36c | 90.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed G2 Ares | 79c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Ares | 17c | 86.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 68c | 83.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed G2 Ares | 72c | 62.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bebop | 38c | 55.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bebop | 25c | 54.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bebop | 29c | 50.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bebop | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Bebop | 34c | 45.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Bebop | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed G2 Ares | 52c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 64c | 32.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…6d8abacked Bebop | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.