Ukraine · resolved market
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1097a9c4491522f8c1b5ad251c234ad885ad0d9b8aa34091e04397db29a58bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,888 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35bb…15a6backed Yes | 13c | 1,872$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…09c7backed Yes | 6c | 1,748$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Yes | 25c | 1,490$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,461$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 67c | 1,322$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.59 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…ccf2backed No | 79c | 1,183$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 50c | 1,178$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 17c | 905.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 750.15$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 747$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe885…38efbacked Yes | 51c | 706.68$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 74c | 678.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed No | 77c | 647.55$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 52c | 646.11$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 64c | 563.19$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…1153backed Yes | 49c | 545.88$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 77c | 493.09$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 14c | 401.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…9cd5backed No | 57c | 396.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…c633backed Yes | 18c | 381.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 14c | 362.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…4c8cbacked Yes | 7c | 360.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 20c | 350$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…d988backed Yes | 22c | 342.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…8a8bbacked Yes | 15c | 341.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 18c | 336.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 63c | 319.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2867…84debacked Yes | 4c | 262.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…99f2backed Yes | 33c | 251.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…c615backed Yes | 62c | 242.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 20c | 230$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…f3e6backed Yes | 43c | 230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…2e36backed Yes | 13c | 229.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 35c | 216$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 205.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…3859backed Yes | 49c | 203.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed No | 53c | 187.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…d20abacked Yes | 5c | 187.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…b6f1backed Yes | 17c | 183.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked Yes | 56c | 177.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 8c | 177.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff40…1a00backed No | 68c | 176.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 57c | 174.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f896backed Yes | 49c | 167.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…6fcbbacked Yes | 64c | 162.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…0821backed Yes | 56c | 153.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…2c67backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 26c | 148.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 12c | 144.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…c684backed No | 67c | 143.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…ef57backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0a35backed Yes | 30c | 118.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 104.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 29c | 93.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 56c | 92.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 45c | 87.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…bd80backed Yes | 41c | 63.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d4…cf9fbacked Yes | 40c | 60.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Yes | 41c | 58.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…35d0backed No | 75c | 52.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 80c | 50.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 47.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed Yes | 28c | 41.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…8fb7backed Yes | 28c | 40.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…62fbbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 53c | 38.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed No | 48c | 35.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…9637backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…c3b4backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 70c | 29.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked No | 54c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…09fabacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075b…bc04backed Yes | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…00d4backed No | 67c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdf…b8a7backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked No | 67c | 17.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…1d9bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?this page
- Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.