TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5be…d4f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked OLDBOYS- · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.38
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.35
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$13.48
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.23
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.31
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$10.15
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$7.13
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$9.95
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.