Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5baa61308a550ff257e194827b20a57e21fb2ea6ee308a8624726ae46e4798a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof Grind Back, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Grind Back | 28c | 594.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.44 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Grind Back | 34c | 456.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed GLYPH | 68c | 397.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.27 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 67c | 299.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Grind Back | 64c | 259.86$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Grind Back | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed GLYPH | 72c | 219.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked GLYPH | 71c | 216.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH | 44c | 188.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked GLYPH | 36c | 170$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 60c | 136.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked GLYPH | 18c | 133.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 64c | 117.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed GLYPH | 43c | 116.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH | 63c | 105$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked GLYPH | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked GLYPH | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed GLYPH | 27c | 98.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Grind Back | 31c | 94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Grind Back | 31c | 94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Grind Back | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grind Back | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Grind Back | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked GLYPH | 61c | 61.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked GLYPH | 51c | 59.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…8155backed Grind Back | 35c | 57.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…b36dbacked Grind Back | 36c | 54.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed GLYPH | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH | 39c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Grind Back | 46c | 48.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked GLYPH | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…fc98backed Grind Back | 41c | 45.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…e95bbacked GLYPH | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grind Back | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Grind Back | 73c | 44.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Grind Back | 47c | 43.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed GLYPH | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed GLYPH | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grind Back | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Grind Back | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Grind Back | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Grind Back | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Grind Back | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Grind Back | 59c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…7b60backed GLYPH | 65c | 16.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.