CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc04fc9d4839da66cf3f2697b45a91bfb1f6cb58ffa20d37b3a3606caa45ea600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof ODDIK, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ODDIK | 60c | 1,826$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 1,538$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 1,098$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 938.31$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…516cbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 751.67$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed ODDIK | 21c | 674.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ODDIK | 29c | 471.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ODDIK | 27c | 410.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fake do Biru | 57c | 378.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru | 56c | 291.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ODDIK | 33c | 277.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ODDIK | 13c | 249.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru | 73c | 208.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 195.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ODDIK | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked ODDIK | 56c | 187.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ODDIK | 25c | 176.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 173.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Fake do Biru | 64c | 154.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 153.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ODDIK | 31c | 146.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed ODDIK | 20c | 106.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ODDIK | 42c | 95.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 90.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ODDIK | 41c | 64.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ODDIK | 24c | 55.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ODDIK | 38c | 53.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 45.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed ODDIK | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 27.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed ODDIK | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…d28ebacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed ODDIK | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed ODDIK | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.