Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b70dc02ca90154c28b3f7b306784213b4e7062ed2f60c5e1053a23563b1fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Dorado Gaming | 13c | 4,841$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.7 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Maryville University | 78c | 3,211$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.57 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Dorado Gaming | 37c | 1,717$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.9 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Dorado Gaming | 14c | 1,463$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Dorado Gaming | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maryville University | 79c | 1,309$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.85 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Maryville University | 68c | 1,025$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Dorado Gaming | 3c | 884.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Maryville University | 71c | 711.42$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 685.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Dorado Gaming | 14c | 520$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Dorado Gaming | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Dorado Gaming | 13c | 450.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Dorado Gaming | 16c | 399.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…e021backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 390.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maryville University | 66c | 284.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maryville University | 67c | 274.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dorado Gaming | 16c | 238.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maryville University | 70c | 216.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Maryville University | 78c | 118.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dorado Gaming | 34c | 108$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 99.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…4ffbbacked Dorado Gaming | 29c | 68.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Dorado Gaming | 22c | 57.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Maryville University | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dorado Gaming | 32c | 37.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Maryville University | 68c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Maryville University | 48c | 26.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maryville University | 74c | 24.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7cf8backed Maryville University | 74c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Dorado Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.