Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e7ad9e871bf480c4937f301dd4152e54c25cbf7275fd8c5a0154dc12bd98ca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dorado Gamingof Maryville University, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Maryville University | 52c | 300.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dorado Gaming | 47c | 246.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dorado Gaming | 53c | 226.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dorado Gaming | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Maryville University | 53c | 119.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Maryville University | 47c | 106.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dorado Gaming | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked Maryville University | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Maryville University | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dorado Gaming | 53c | 59.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Maryville University | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Maryville University | 53c | 47.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Maryville University | 46c | 32.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Dorado Gaming | 47c | 27.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dorado Gaming | 48c | 25.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Dorado Gaming | 55c | 20.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.