CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd7dfbf0ebb61e6a615d4a82fc06c6aee8898fcd696dfb9df3a72e1ffcc43b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Phantom | 75c | 6,533$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.67 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 1,930$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 1,558$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.93 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 29c | 1,516$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Phantom | 75c | 613.62$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed Phantom | 56c | 603.63$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 598.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed Phantom | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 579.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked HEROIC Academy | 19c | 551.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HEROIC Academy | 27c | 451.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 448.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 27c | 310.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 303.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Phantom | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 275.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 258.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 252.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Phantom | 72c | 225.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 217.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed HEROIC Academy | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 189.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed HEROIC Academy | 16c | 177.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Phantom | 71c | 163.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed HEROIC Academy | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HEROIC Academy | 20c | 115.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 73c | 111.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 59c | 106.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 59c | 103.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Phantom | 76c | 101.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Phantom | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 77c | 95.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HEROIC Academy | 23c | 91.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 60.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked HEROIC Academy | 32c | 55.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Phantom | 72c | 52.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HEROIC Academy | 32c | 50.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 71c | 48.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Phantom | 71c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.