CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaecf2ce904e558be9064cbeeca90dc0140d9ebd318c17055eac77d04078064c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 64c | 2,092$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 73c | 1,587$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 1,501$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed HEROIC Academy | 28c | 1,223$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.93 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 62c | 756$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.37 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 654.95$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked HEROIC Academy | 27c | 621.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 367.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked HEROIC Academy | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 51c | 266.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HEROIC Academy | 30c | 249.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked HEROIC Academy | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 141.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Phantom | 78c | 140.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 77c | 135.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…3a5dbacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 115.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HEROIC Academy | 51c | 107.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HEROIC Academy | 48c | 100.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Phantom | 62c | 94.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Phantom | 76c | 94.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 54c | 88.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Phantom | 77c | 83.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 82.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed HEROIC Academy | 51c | 80.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 68.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0634…6158backed Phantom | 58c | 66.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Phantom | 79c | 62.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 51c | 59.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 51c | 44.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked HEROIC Academy | 41c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Phantom | 59c | 24.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Phantom | 69c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.