MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x770614d3f933027b4240c1a797f9a5431da22745efafe771a796a37038f12d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Tigers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Tigers | 50c | 227,087$113,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,543.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nationals | 53c | 83,894$44,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,624.85 | 359 | 54.6%196 W · 163 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 51c | 78,439$39,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,548.43 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 50c | 59,999$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.5 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 49c | 41,145$20,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,119.98 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Nationals | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nationals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 50c | 19,287$9,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,680.16 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 50c | 14,771$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,316.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Tigers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 51c | 9,807$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.58 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Nationals | 50c | 7,566$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.51 | 497 | 50.1%249 W · 248 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 51c | 7,544$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.41 | 997 | 50.1%499 W · 498 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers | 50c | 7,212$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nationals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Nationals | 51c | 4,265$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.71 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…3332backed Tigers | 51c | 4,162$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 51c | 4,158$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.2 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Tigers | 47c | 4,004$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 50c | 3,730$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.61 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 49c | 3,563$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.18 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers | 31c | 3,496$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.26 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 50c | 2,868$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Tigers | 1c | 2,275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Nationals | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 47c | 1,993$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.23 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Nationals | 51c | 1,682$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.82 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 2c | 1,301$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Tigers | 50c | 1,243$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.42 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 31c | 1,208$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.98 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Nationals | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…4f12backed Tigers | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 2c | 1,135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 3c | 1,104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 76c | 1,069$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Tigers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Tigers | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nationals | 50c | 894$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.94 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nationals | 61c | 860.31$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.31 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 36c | 689.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Tigers | 52c | 667.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Tigers | 51c | 633.49$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Tigers | 33c | 577.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 52c | 577.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 39c | 570.09$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 68c | 558.86$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Nationals | 59c | 551.66$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 51c | 530$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 4c | 450$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 14c | 408.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Tigers | 17c | 405.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…a6e9backed Tigers | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…8c6ebacked Tigers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Tigers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Nationals | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Nationals | 68c | 343.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 79c | 315.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Nationals | 51c | 310.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Tigers | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Tigers | 34c | 294.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Tigers | 34c | 294.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 69c | 292.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 48c | 284.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Tigers | 47c | 256.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Tigers | 70c | 235.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Tigers | 49c | 219$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Tigers | 34c | 214.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Tigers | 49c | 213.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Nationals | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Nationals | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Nationals | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Nationals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Tigers | 50c | 184.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…ca5fbacked Tigers | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…ef94backed Tigers | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Tigers | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…a4e2backed Tigers | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Tigers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Tigers | 75c | 158.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Tigers | 8c | 144.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…c3b3backed Tigers | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 34c | 139.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Tigers | 50c | 138.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Tigers | 25c | 135.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…b853backed Tigers | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…336fbacked Tigers | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.