Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de057f5311ae2f8209facceb3e4b6b392ea3a9e6db44363f881c243f8314343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 6,489$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.95 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…f90fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,590$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 26c | 3,424$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 71c | 3,048$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 30c | 2,937$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,343$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 20c | 2,155$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.76 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…e41ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,860$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 24c | 1,821$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.08 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Yes | 28c | 1,779$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 1,684$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.01 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…88b7backed Yes | 22c | 1,643$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 24c | 1,499$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49fc…eeaabacked Yes | 31c | 1,369$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 16c | 1,296$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…2884backed Yes | 27c | 1,194$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 27c | 1,131$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 1,115$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e3…c075backed Yes | 22c | 1,011$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…13f8backed Yes | 30c | 987.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…eb4fbacked Yes | 30c | 850$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 20c | 800$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 7c | 799.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 23c | 784.77$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 79c | 666.03$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 30c | 665.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 75c | 614.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 21c | 546.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 30c | 526$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 454.92$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…39b0backed Yes | 9c | 450$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 80c | 420.74$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 419$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 409.72$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 388.44$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 26c | 384.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…8534backed Yes | 27c | 379.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c53…185dbacked Yes | 15c | 354.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5b…8d94backed Yes | 26c | 341.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 17c | 304.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked Yes | 20c | 301$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 75c | 300.65$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 78c | 280.64$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 16c | 255.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Yes | 25c | 250.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e86ebacked Yes | 24c | 241.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 72c | 231.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Yes | 23c | 221.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 14c | 207.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…6255backed Yes | 25c | 200.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 77c | 199.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…86b1backed Yes | 25c | 198.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 76c | 183.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Yes | 24c | 180.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 78c | 176.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 20c | 176$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 22c | 162.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 160.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…57b8backed Yes | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…c26bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 77c | 111.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb95…41c4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…0972backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4b84backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…7a41backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…c775backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…cdaebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…5861backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…b62cbacked Yes | 29c | 52.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…1f27backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 73c | 49.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…1afcbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked No | 69c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?this page
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?No won
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?Yes won
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 18%+?No won
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?No won
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.