MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8de8d0a0cf9a4cc695ff4ce70be17ef5a1caa38d4b274d63e61263622eb69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Pirates, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Royals | 57c | 64,200$36,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,660.14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 43c | 33,333$14,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,333.19 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 44c | 20,305$8,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,855.28 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 56c | 15,219$8,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,696.47 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 43c | 12,350$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 57c | 6,027$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Royals | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 43c | 5,497$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.56 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 43c | 5,250$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Royals | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 47c | 4,380$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.66 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 43c | 4,362$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.67 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 35c | 4,126$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pirates | 51c | 3,693$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.38 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 64c | 3,438$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 43c | 3,400$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 56c | 3,325$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.09 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pirates | 43c | 3,150$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Royals | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 57c | 2,265$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.85 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 56c | 1,921$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.24 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 52c | 1,393$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.05 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 56c | 1,201$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 28c | 1,187$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.78 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pirates | 33c | 1,147$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Royals | 73c | 1,093$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 65c | 1,075$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 56c | 1,009$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 43c | 948.25$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.29 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pirates | 36c | 945.06$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.55 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 34c | 886.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Royals | 58c | 842.79$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 49c | 504.3$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Pirates | 45c | 470$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Pirates | 52c | 415.24$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…c2b5backed Royals | 57c | 381$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…861dbacked Royals | 57c | 369$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 29c | 361.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 58c | 346.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…14eabacked Pirates | 44c | 317$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 42c | 299.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates | 47c | 267.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 38c | 257.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 44c | 238.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 43c | 235.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 44c | 224.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…8b09backed Pirates | 44c | 223$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 56c | 219.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pirates | 24c | 217.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…e809backed Pirates | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Royals | 72c | 200.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Royals | 53c | 198.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 41c | 197.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Royals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 56c | 172$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 44c | 165.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Royals | 55c | 163.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pirates | 40c | 161.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 56c | 159.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Royals | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 55c | 147.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Pirates | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Royals | 64c | 138.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Royals | 57c | 136.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 44c | 134.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…05cebacked Pirates | 44c | 117.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…0b39backed Pirates | 44c | 113.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…99d1backed Pirates | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…0cb6backed Pirates | 44c | 113.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 56c | 111.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…07e0backed Pirates | 44c | 110.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…2033backed Royals | 57c | 107.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d49…fb65backed Pirates | 44c | 105.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…ae60backed Pirates | 45c | 103.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Royals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Pirates | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…2b6abacked Royals | 79c | 99.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 35c | 98.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Royals | 57c | 94.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…0e4dbacked Pirates | 45c | 91.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982d…753abacked Royals | 56c | 89.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…1639backed Royals | 56c | 88.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…fddfbacked Royals | 56c | 87.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…32e8backed Royals | 56c | 84.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 47c | 84.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Royals | 57c | 82.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…e730backed Royals | 57c | 81.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe969…5d75backed Royals | 57c | 79.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.