Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4959a8ec9ca90f15ebcd7b24179426a72ab42b356a5d0b5f665038df505b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 31c | 3,427$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.83 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…9631backed Misa Esports | 35c | 3,000$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Misa Esports | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Galions | 64c | 2,223$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.99 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 2,009$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.01 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 33c | 2,000$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.23 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Galions | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Misa Esports | 4c | 1,350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Galions | 60c | 1,056$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 32c | 1,042$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.17 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Galions | 65c | 923.06$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Galions | 64c | 920$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Galions | 78c | 913.87$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Misa Esports | 26c | 626.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 63c | 484.11$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Galions | 66c | 454.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Galions | 60c | 414.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…cbbebacked Galions | 68c | 369.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Misa Esports | 37c | 351.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Misa Esports | 37c | 342.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Galions | 67c | 318$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Galions | 65c | 308.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Galions | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Misa Esports | 33c | 301.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Galions | 69c | 287.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Misa Esports | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Galions | 68c | 250.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 245.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Misa Esports | 35c | 240.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Galions | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galions | 66c | 222.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 14c | 203.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Galions | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Galions | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Galions | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 35c | 188.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 20c | 129.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 120.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed Galions | 66c | 112.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 279 | 62.4%174 W · 105 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Galions | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Galions | 74c | 109.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 103.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Misa Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 35c | 96.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…2cf6backed Galions | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed Galions | 68c | 78.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Galions | 65c | 74.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Galions | 66c | 68.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 67.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Galions | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 323 | 45.5%147 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Galions | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Galions | 68c | 46.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…2784backed Galions | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Galions | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Misa Esports | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…1913backed Galions | 69c | 43.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Galions | 59c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Galions | 59c | 40.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Galions | 59c | 40.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Galions | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Galions | 76c | 39.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 151 | 35.8%54 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Misa Esports | 36c | 34.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Galions | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Misa Esports | 43c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a50backed Galions | 64c | 26.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Misa Esports | 44c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked Galions | 59c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Galions | 67c | 25.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Galions | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Galions | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Galions | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Galions | 63c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Galions | 66c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Galions | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.