Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6beecdaa5db427ccad8ee9b989e14c5b47c9182dda080f640b5411614a850a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Misa Esports | 45c | 1,306$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.51 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Galions | 53c | 1,169$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.27 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Misa Esports | 42c | 759.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 569.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 509.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.43 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Misa Esports | 49c | 502.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Misa Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 50c | 385.52$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Galions | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Galions | 59c | 338.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Galions | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Galions | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Galions | 58c | 199.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…deffbacked Galions | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Galions | 58c | 172.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…2f97backed Galions | 71c | 170.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Galions | 57c | 162.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Galions | 50c | 100.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed Galions | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c3…c917backed Galions | 58c | 58.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Misa Esports | 25c | 55.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Misa Esports | 37c | 52.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Misa Esports | 47c | 47.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Misa Esports | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Misa Esports | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.