Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d26a3688480fe3da118999d1b743527fbde42e82553892996e8d68a0f03576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Misa Esports | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 35c | 1,570$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.47 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Galions | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 29c | 1,330$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 31c | 1,246$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Galions | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 13c | 819.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Misa Esports | 38c | 554.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Misa Esports | 29c | 509.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 412.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Galions | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 62c | 380.9$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Galions | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Misa Esports | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…87d6backed Galions | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Galions | 68c | 246.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 8c | 239.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Galions | 65c | 223.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Galions | 74c | 201.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Galions | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Galions | 74c | 189.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Galions | 70c | 183$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Galions | 68c | 159.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 9c | 156.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Galions | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galions | 68c | 141.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Galions | 70c | 130.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 12c | 129.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…a39dbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Misa Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Galions | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…2cf6backed Galions | 64c | 75.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Galions | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 110 | 62.7%69 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Galions | 69c | 72.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Misa Esports | 29c | 71.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Galions | 68c | 64.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Misa Esports | 31c | 61.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…2784backed Galions | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Galions | 68c | 60.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 18c | 60.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Galions | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Galions | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Galions | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…eb52backed Galions | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 323 | 45.5%147 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Misa Esports | 33c | 47.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Misa Esports | 33c | 47.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Misa Esports | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Galions | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Galions | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…f1e9backed Galions | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Galions | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…1913backed Galions | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Galions | 68c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Galions | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Galions | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.