NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals: Will any player record a triple double?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67b582b801fb54595cb70e751f977383f7ae2b9e42603ef402dd989571c6789f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 67c | 2,573$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 47c | 1,793$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.58 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 64c | 1,743$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.29 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 53c | 1,721$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.07 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 60c | 948.45$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.02 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 34c | 890$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed No | 52c | 700.08$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.86 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 33c | 648.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 49c | 542.84$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 25c | 486.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 27c | 443.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 50c | 380$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 15c | 353.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Yes | 20c | 311.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 60c | 283$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 12c | 270.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 30c | 268.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 8c | 240.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 49c | 233.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked No | 55c | 210.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Yes | 38c | 210.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 45c | 178.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 34c | 173.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 63c | 164.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 24c | 163.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 53c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 71c | 141.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 140.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed No | 78c | 129$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…a365backed Yes | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed Yes | 29c | 100.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…ad7abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…e3a0backed Yes | 43c | 93.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…a89ebacked Yes | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…3ce7backed Yes | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…fdb0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…cf3abacked Yes | 36c | 55.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 24c | 47.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…7ec2backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 62c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.