TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Rays, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers53c5,927$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.1999149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays30c5,739$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.89,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers46c5,467$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.3913553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays10c5,268$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.666,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays54c5,208$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.561,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Tigers47c4,217$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.292437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rays63c3,700$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.021,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays46c3,557$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6312,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rays46c2,275$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.738249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers54c2,260$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.491,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Tigers34c2,203$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.333450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rays46c1,896$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.3950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Rays48c1,687$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.7618748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Rays63c1,578$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.6717927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays10c1,560$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.172,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Tigers54c1,401$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6224553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rays61c1,150$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9623752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Tigers38c1,056$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.974332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rays46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99f…1709backed Tigers54c932.72$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Rays47c897.56$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.856450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rays46c869.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1920850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rays48c838.52$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.4814050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5d…67a4backed Tigers54c822.22$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4981…5176backed Rays47c819.15$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers55c719.9$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.961,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tigers56c690$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac6…f6eabacked Tigers32c650.45$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.821020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rays8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4827733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rays46c559$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1427953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Rays68c550$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2816157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays3c518.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.075053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Tigers52c476.7$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8210550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rays46c476.57$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.795,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays55c462.77$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays45c439$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.291,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec1…59dbbacked Rays46c430$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rays46c401.35$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6238949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rays47c354.46$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.65940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac51…3f9ebacked Tigers42c340$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers61c337.44$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.61,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Tigers43c326.27$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays44c322.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.74,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rays47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rays48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked Rays60c266.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.843971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Tigers31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.062634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers33c254.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Rays5c253.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c5…fe56backed Tigers55c245$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rays46c217.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.261,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rays46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rays45c206$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.743247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rays56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rays56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.956440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rays45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Rays46c196.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5919449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tigers42c196.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8434164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff49…69f5backed Tigers48c189.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Rays47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.369332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1c2…faa6backed Tigers55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers54c184.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3939160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1946…8a1fbacked Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rays28c174.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.792,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers55c172$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.42,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rays46c166.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers53c165.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.131,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays34c158$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2141747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rays46c151$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Tigers56c141.59$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.35945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rays45c140.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1695950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Tigers52c124.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8215949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1700…da7fbacked Rays46c110.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.77450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rays40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rays46c107.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.491,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac3…38dbbacked Rays47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1154…33a8backed Rays46c105.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Rays47c104.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Tigers43c100.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.714649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Rays35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tigers42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5841751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Rays47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Tigers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Tigers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Tigers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Rays46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rays33c96.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Tigers67c96.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.954938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x183f…3bfebacked Tigers55c96.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked Rays47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Rays45c95.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.