MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26576a35bdccd7e2a701cc95b0a7f51f01acfd839c4f3b7aba4addc411ae83e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Padres | 79c | 12,471$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.98 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 60c | 8,863$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.22 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Padres | 56c | 5,346$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.08 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 4,967$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,314$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 3,819$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.81 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,504$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.82 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,169$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,157$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.86 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,883$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Padres | 57c | 2,666$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.3 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 57c | 2,474$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.22 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Padres | 59c | 1,406$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,135$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,028$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,000$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.65 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 59c | 934.88$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Padres | 57c | 868.49$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 66c | 792.34$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…e92ebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 44c | 638.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.26 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 495.76$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 56c | 469.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.48 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 449.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 415.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 410.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 64c | 386.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 373.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 78c | 338.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 54c | 335.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 319.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 56c | 294$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 267.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 245.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…7deebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 221.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 194.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 57c | 192$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 188.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Padres | 56c | 178.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Padres | 57c | 175.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 174$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Padres | 55c | 169.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Padres | 63c | 158.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 157.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Padres | 56c | 140.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 124.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 108.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 107.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…f0b2backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Padres | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 68c | 97.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 95.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Padres | 56c | 89.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 89.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 45c | 85.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 78.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 71.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 63.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 55.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 55.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Padres | 57c | 45.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.