Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47dd05688aeb06e5d975c2384bc219f06854efad9cdaa43b38edde9900909191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 5c | 18,739$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.28 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…c3c2backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 10c | 11,900$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.26 | 459 | 11.3%52 W · 407 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 8c | 11,659$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.78 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…b42abacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 85 | 8.2%7 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 6c | 9,619$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.71 | 532 | 5.3%28 W · 504 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 10c | 7,236$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.74 | 218 | 10.1%22 W · 196 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…0cfabacked Yes | 10c | 6,891$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.15 | 281 | 13.5%38 W · 243 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 9c | 5,739$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.33 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 0c | 5,224$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 384 | 4.7%18 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…9117backed Yes | 0c | 5,132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,045$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.8 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 5c | 3,890$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…4afebacked Yes | 3c | 3,607$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…8527backed Yes | 7c | 3,371$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 159 | 21.4%34 W · 125 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,237$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 8c | 2,359$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…384fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,111$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 421 | 10%42 W · 379 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,035$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 243 | 7%17 W · 226 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…a960backed Yes | 16c | 2,006$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 3c | 1,785$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…688bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,555$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +246%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 19.9%44 W · 177 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…c71fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,429$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 94 | 11.7%11 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 14c | 1,297$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 14.2%34 W · 205 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 11c | 1,059$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes | 9c | 1,047$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…330abacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…688fbacked Yes | 3c | 999.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 3c | 975.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 1c | 907.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 13c | 853.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 766.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…7b12backed Yes | 13c | 686.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 207 | 17.4%36 W · 171 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…5ae5backed Yes | 8c | 600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 11c | 595$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 340 | 17.1%58 W · 282 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 10c | 569$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…7456backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…6ddcbacked Yes | 4c | 499.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…b9ffbacked Yes | 8c | 405.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…3127backed Yes | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 10c | 391.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 10c | 385.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 7c | 346.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 346.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…0389backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 13.3%12 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…2317backed Yes | 17c | 301.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469a…c784backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…228dbacked Yes | 3c | 290.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes | 11c | 271.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 246 | 18.7%46 W · 200 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…979ebacked Yes | 15c | 268.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 10c | 258.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 17c | 253.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…9fc9backed Yes | 12c | 249.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d54abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…f369backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…4ecebacked Yes | 15c | 187.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 7c | 179.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…ca14backed Yes | 15c | 173.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 9c | 166.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 143 | 8.4%12 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…8986backed Yes | 12c | 161.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…1d28backed Yes | 9c | 145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…e3cfbacked Yes | 16c | 138.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 19.3%26 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…53fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…bd2cbacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…8908backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…37babacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?this page
- Will Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?Yes won
- Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 320 and 339 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 340 and 359 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 360 and 379 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 380 and 399 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 400 and 419 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 440 and 459 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 460 and 479 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 520 and 539 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 540 and 559 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 560 and 579 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet between 580 and 599 times September 5–12?No won
- Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.