CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e018ad686001fa657bfbfc97a3d065c196b693c7f684f949857e740183f00f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 77c | 1,613$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.47 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 26c | 1,236$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed Bebop | 29c | 818.55$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Bebop | 28c | 773.87$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed 1WIN | 72c | 580.09$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…f1b3backed Bebop | 27c | 571.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked 1WIN | 75c | 558.74$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 25c | 368.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 76c | 348.31$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed 1WIN | 72c | 288.13$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked 1WIN | 74c | 267.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked 1WIN | 75c | 257.52$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bebop | 20c | 205.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…cbeebacked 1WIN | 59c | 200.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bebop | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked 1WIN | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Bebop | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Bebop | 25c | 184.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Bebop | 19c | 179.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 1WIN | 73c | 165.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked 1WIN | 72c | 158.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1WIN | 79c | 157.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Bebop | 17c | 143.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Bebop | 14c | 111.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Bebop | 41c | 108.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Bebop | 41c | 107.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Bebop | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed 1WIN | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Bebop | 11c | 99.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 23c | 77.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Bebop | 24c | 76.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…11e1backed 1WIN | 77c | 75.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Bebop | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 75c | 49.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c42…488fbacked 1WIN | 72c | 45.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bebop | 26c | 39.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed 1WIN | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed 1WIN | 76c | 38.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…8a48backed 1WIN | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed 1WIN | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 1WIN | 76c | 21.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed 1WIN | 75c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 1WIN | 76c | 19.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed 1WIN | 77c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…9a41backed 1WIN | 76c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked 1WIN | 72c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.