CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea73f8bad2458a5858e96eb9799600631ebeb510eced978333d2207da27f72b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked 1WIN | 47c | 2,644$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.36 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Bebop | 6c | 1,016$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Bebop | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 36c | 593.93$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 40c | 481.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 68c | 450.69$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bebop | 45c | 388.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 50c | 333.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Bebop | 40c | 333.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 48c | 331.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…cbeebacked 1WIN | 60c | 303.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 59c | 284.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Bebop | 40c | 192.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bebop | 47c | 153.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked 1WIN | 74c | 132.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3e45backed 1WIN | 78c | 128.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 1WIN | 55c | 124.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bebop | 32c | 123.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Bebop | 33c | 120.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bebop | 33c | 119.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bebop | 33c | 119.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bebop | 33c | 119.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked 1WIN | 47c | 108.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed 1WIN | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 56c | 71.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Bebop | 62c | 68.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 1WIN | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 1WIN | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Bebop | 22c | 53.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Bebop | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1WIN | 35c | 41.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed 1WIN | 61c | 37.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…64aebacked 1WIN | 66c | 37.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Bebop | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Bebop | 54c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Bebop | 75c | 20.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bebop | 79c | 20.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed 1WIN | 65c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.