Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca757b6d8885dcb1edc845972932c1dfdc6191ebc10170824ea17d0339151eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 7,691$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.43 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 24c | 4,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 42c | 4,021$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 2,199$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.38 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 2,151$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.69 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 21c | 2,085$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.4 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 26c | 1,149$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 1,112$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.21 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 800.59$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 17c | 616.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 23c | 427.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 401.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 388.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes | 22c | 375.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 36c | 235.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 224.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked No | 76c | 214.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 199.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 63c | 182.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 170.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 67c | 168$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 21c | 141.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 22c | 108.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 103.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 64c | 83.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 68.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…e9a0backed No | 61c | 62.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 17c | 62.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…5614backed Yes | 21c | 54.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Yes | 20c | 50.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 35.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.