TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion15c5,581$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.211,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Shopify Rebellion3c4,088$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9294134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON74c2,914$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.172,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Shopify Rebellion32c2,615$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.071,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Shopify Rebellion29c2,390$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.921,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion24c2,074$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.832,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Shopify Rebellion30c2,020$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1371249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked LYON71c2,001$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.0973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked LYON71c1,704$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LYON69c1,594$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3196250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e2…7283backed Shopify Rebellion9c1,539$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.833023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion17c1,336$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.962,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Shopify Rebellion19c1,333$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.851,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion23c1,200$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LYON66c1,115$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2287844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Shopify Rebellion28c1,114$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8482352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion15c887.32$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.113,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Shopify Rebellion30c845.97$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.791,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Shopify Rebellion21c819.76$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4899338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion27c817.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.383,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed LYON71c816.45$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.595646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON74c809.18$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.142,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x248d…2885backed LYON73c808.6$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.326563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed LYON66c755.69$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0450647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion8c731.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.371,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion23c729.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.581,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Shopify Rebellion36c715.06$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Shopify Rebellion26c707.61$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4885652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed Shopify Rebellion2c661.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.218330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed LYON76c648.06$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2525259.1%149 W · 103 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed LYON76c525.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3412639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Shopify Rebellion16c521.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3810350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LYON80c494$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.857151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Shopify Rebellion20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.274344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON70c444$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.21,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Shopify Rebellion30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed LYON80c376$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed LYON77c358.98$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Shopify Rebellion20c357.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5940741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Shopify Rebellion3c348$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4423624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Shopify Rebellion30c323.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.051,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked LYON72c312.73$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7513761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked LYON78c300.77$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1310760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Shopify Rebellion32c300.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9117228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LYON73c295.13$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion33c285.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6190537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Shopify Rebellion24c279.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9799747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion20c243.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked Shopify Rebellion21c222.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7926937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked LYON74c218.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0135164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Shopify Rebellion35c194.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2713652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Shopify Rebellion29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8782650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Shopify Rebellion29c164.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8715062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed LYON74c154.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0467057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LYON72c150.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.112,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Shopify Rebellion14c149.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Shopify Rebellion18c134.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.265248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LYON75c124.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Shopify Rebellion16c119.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8941651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked LYON71c118.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3914154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed LYON77c101.63$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4624235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Shopify Rebellion37c96.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d84…2a04backed Shopify Rebellion19c93.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.084365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Shopify Rebellion32c81.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3323559.6%140 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Shopify Rebellion27c62.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.671,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Shopify Rebellion27c49.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3964435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…67b9backed Shopify Rebellion32c44.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed LYON79c43.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2126154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8a…4e10backed Shopify Rebellion34c42.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LYON77c38.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8439266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed LYON66c37.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7579864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed LYON70c34.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2537548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked LYON76c33.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.183237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd86…d74fbacked LYON78c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.579070%63 W · 27 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7028…66d1backed LYON80c23.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.716462.8%103 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked LYON62c23.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7413372.2%96 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68d…810cbacked LYON77c19.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.583167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913a…5614backed LYON74c15.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.153342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked LYON74c13.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.553847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.