Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919106dda308e4b70bd4048ea55d9f2749d3c2c41953f491d74b0c772f9e3708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 3,279$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.57 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 3,139$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 1,986$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LYON | 71c | 1,677$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed LYON | 73c | 1,665$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.73 | 464 | 64%297 W · 167 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 1,265$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,086$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…2a04backed LYON | 76c | 1,082$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LYON | 68c | 971.64$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 841.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LYON | 73c | 838.49$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.94 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 787.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LYON | 69c | 711.19$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 703$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LYON | 66c | 441.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 440.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LYON | 69c | 432.51$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 423.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 365.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed LYON | 73c | 245.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 225$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed LYON | 74c | 199.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 191.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…ae41backed LYON | 74c | 147.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 142.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked LYON | 69c | 137.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LYON | 70c | 96.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed LYON | 69c | 78.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 674 | 57.3%386 W · 288 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed LYON | 77c | 47.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 37.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…810cbacked LYON | 73c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.