CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AMKAL ESPORTS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3da220757a6978c857f255f7beca8c0299656194e9f30195075547274bf02c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof AMKAL ESPORTS, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 2,930$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.72 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 43c | 2,135$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.24 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 17c | 1,922$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…129abacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 1,130$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…3b7ebacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 586.63$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.03 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0dcfbacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 560$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 49c | 511.26$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 508.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…0996backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 458$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…2a56backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…75f2backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 346$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 22c | 300.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 42c | 294.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 46c | 283.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ NXT | 80c | 236.12$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 46c | 216.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 212.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked MOUZ NXT | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 131.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…87dfbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…95a9backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 128$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…c3c1backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 112$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…fb7ebacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…534abacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 42c | 96.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 68.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 64.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked MOUZ NXT | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…82e5backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…0bdcbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…e211backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…59bbbacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c9b1backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked MOUZ NXT | 69c | 32.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked AMKAL ESPORTS | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…afe6backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…6e6fbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…f7d1backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…7545backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed AMKAL ESPORTS | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…0dc7backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 23.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AMKAL ESPORTS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.