Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb2bcca902f2b815f88f09983c00cbe7de47fe4440459e914c966b094811900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Sebastian Baez, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sebastian Baez | 19c | 13,460$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.41 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Baez | 19c | 9,296$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.03 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Alex Michelsen | 52c | 7,632$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 6,963$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.28 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Baez | 26c | 6,708$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.62 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sebastian Baez | 65c | 5,396$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.68 | 648 | 55.2%358 W · 290 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Sebastian Baez | 1c | 5,051$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Baez | 19c | 4,615$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.03 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Baez | 47c | 3,740$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.75 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Alex Michelsen | 56c | 3,536$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.71 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Alex Michelsen | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.98 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…dc26backed Sebastian Baez | 4c | 2,919$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sebastian Baez | 65c | 2,906$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Sebastian Baez | 63c | 2,651$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.04 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Alex Michelsen | 55c | 2,599$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.92 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 2,457$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.29 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Baez | 11c | 2,170$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 1,576$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.08 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Alex Michelsen | 57c | 1,569$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.59 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Alex Michelsen | 43c | 1,482$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.08 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Alex Michelsen | 35c | 1,436$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.54 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Sebastian Baez | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 1,337$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.9 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 1,300$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.84 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 1,244$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.55 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 1,217$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.82 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Alex Michelsen | 77c | 1,168$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.34 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…b370backed Sebastian Baez | 61c | 1,061$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Sebastian Baez | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Alex Michelsen | 60c | 956.77$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.82 | 337 | 53.7%181 W · 156 L | +21.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4a16backed Alex Michelsen | 50c | 927.66$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…786dbacked Sebastian Baez | 65c | 902.47$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…82e5backed Sebastian Baez | 66c | 894.4$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Sebastian Baez | 43c | 889.75$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.59 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Sebastian Baez | 38c | 888$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alex Michelsen | 34c | 874.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.97 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Alex Michelsen | 37c | 866.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.72 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Baez | 20c | 866.46$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…c8e8backed Alex Michelsen | 36c | 862.68$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Alex Michelsen | 57c | 843.7$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Alex Michelsen | 36c | 834$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.76 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sebastian Baez | 26c | 831.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Baez | 38c | 798.81$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.04 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Alex Michelsen | 70c | 779.73$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.74 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Sebastian Baez | 17c | 758.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sebastian Baez | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 742$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.14 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 738.82$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.51 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sebastian Baez | 41c | 715.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Baez | 46c | 676.4$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Alex Michelsen | 36c | 666.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 615.55$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.6 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alex Michelsen | 34c | 582.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.06 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Sebastian Baez | 47c | 553$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Sebastian Baez | 62c | 538.15$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.6 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Alex Michelsen | 37c | 516.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Alex Michelsen | 34c | 514.62$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.65 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Sebastian Baez | 58c | 500.3$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Sebastian Baez | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Sebastian Baez | 66c | 500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sebastian Baez | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sebastian Baez | 27c | 482.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 469.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Alex Michelsen | 64c | 459.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 457$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Sebastian Baez | 66c | 456.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 23c | 442.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 427.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Sebastian Baez | 44c | 424$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Sebastian Baez | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Baez | 24c | 384.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Alex Michelsen | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 377.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…ae40backed Sebastian Baez | 62c | 374.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.57 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 367.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…adb8backed Alex Michelsen | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sebastian Baez | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 325.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 323.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…a572backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 320.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 199 | 77.4%154 W · 45 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Sebastian Baez | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 385 | 22.3%86 W · 299 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Baez | 47c | 307.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sebastian Baez | 21c | 307.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Sebastian Baez | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Sebastian Baez | 34c | 283.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 266.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Sebastian Baez | 8c | 266.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Sebastian Baez | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 249.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Alex Michelsen | 70c | 235$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 235$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 228$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Sebastian Baez | 65c | 225.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 45c | 224.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…a0abbacked Sebastian Baez | 10c | 217.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Sebastian Baez | 66c | 215.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Baez vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sebastian Baez vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs MichelsenMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.