WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9ded7efaedd38e72ac19733b7e59f3709e6bd11ebb4b570c6bdde79bb9d0c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 5,107$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 3,533$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 2,481$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.76 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,631$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.8 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,196$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 1,167$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 77c | 706.71$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 624.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Indiana Fever | 26c | 599.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 223.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 211.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Fever | 20c | 148.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 92.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 81.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 34.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 34.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 34.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 32.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Atlanta Dream | 78c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.