WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d91ac10756b60c6ca74b53583971d68767e26bb2c9e91d0d1116509c7f6f1f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 4,710$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.04 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.87 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 53c | 944.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.45 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 52c | 751.23$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 51c | 668.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.4 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Over | 48c | 624.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 53c | 497.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.93 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 54c | 320$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 47c | 314.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 237.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 31c | 119.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Over | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 46c | 62.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…8fa1backed Under | 37c | 54.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 47c | 36.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 52c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 47c | 23.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 51c | 22.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.