WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6c1b79e9cb8a74c454a0cd737c14056662341ba6054a010a7ee25d6ca934e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 2,156$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,072$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 821.39$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.55 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 47c | 630.96$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.41 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 609.6$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.09 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 326.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 319$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 192.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Under | 15c | 108.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 23c | 66.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…9c2fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 30.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.