WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd520a523bb7a0cfcd2948dcfb3d74697205a36027ac26c1a6ba62d0b76ffdd8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof New York Liberty, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 10,562$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.27 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 53c | 6,786$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed New York Liberty | 53c | 2,160$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 1,165$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 44c | 1,110$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.47 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 834.78$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 820.46$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.04 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 813.69$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 43c | 560.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Washington Mystics | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed New York Liberty | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked New York Liberty | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 146.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed New York Liberty | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Liberty | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 43c | 72.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.