WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589fac340d03f473c3f3572f9d041ff6d7e600f9236199e36ee6b84372ad2624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under | 50c | 4,999$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.4 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Over | 50c | 4,916$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,254$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.17 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 52c | 1,858$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.84 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 980.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.71 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 36c | 695.21$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 657.97$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 630.94$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 617.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 590.16$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.38 | 871 | 48.2%420 W · 451 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 516.76$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.07 | 613 | 42.4%260 W · 353 L | -31.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 413.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 944 | 48.3%456 W · 488 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 400.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 399.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 46c | 395.22$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 381.91$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 65c | 307.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 51c | 256.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 247.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 187.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 51c | 154.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 68c | 135.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 254 | 45.7%116 W · 138 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 87.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 856 | 58.4%500 W · 356 L | +70.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 515 | 47.2%243 W · 272 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 50c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 51.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 51c | 40.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 32.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 65c | 26.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 50c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 55c | 18.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.