WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e2e2843244933e7c4f7073d70eaa5a49bf7d9a37adf8b237a831ef40864caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 1,342$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.6 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 1,124$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.73 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…e025backed Over | 52c | 596.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 564.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 473.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 457.53$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 52c | 451.44$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 382.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 377.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 352.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 352.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 341.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 293.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…320bbacked Over | 52c | 247.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…a315backed Over | 53c | 236.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc381…e24bbacked Over | 52c | 223.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c75…6a36backed Over | 53c | 208.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 16c | 180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 166.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 50c | 112.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 67c | 111.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 104.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 93.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 44c | 87.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 67.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 66.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 65.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 60.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 54.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 48.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 35.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 54c | 35.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 35.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 47c | 33.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 37c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 67c | 15.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.