WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e8dc7e0b050adbec9e46ea83435c9e79215185fe4d3137abd05fc180111ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof New York Liberty, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6feb…3042backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 5,100$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 3,644$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.82 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 35c | 2,485$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.6 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 64c | 2,297$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.92 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 48c | 1,390$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.07 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 33c | 890.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Washington Mystics | 69c | 835.9$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 759.63$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 49c | 536.9$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 71c | 238.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 225.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed New York Liberty | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Washington Mystics | 75c | 186.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 32c | 139.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 95.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 89.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed New York Liberty | 25c | 89.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 27c | 68.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Liberty | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty | 31c | 52.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 48c | 48.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Liberty | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 40.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 40.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Washington Mystics | 73c | 25.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Washington Mystics | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.