WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5142bbbf60902c034a7df6fa71f91ab62205846a4ec5ecdc1f58800826f206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Atlanta Dream, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 6,620$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.6 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 6,446$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.93 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 2,559$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.55 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 1,868$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.84 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,459$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.52 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 937.77$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 876.25$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.65 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 775.65$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 502.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 398.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.31 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 229.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…d00dbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 202.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 160.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atlanta Dream | 19c | 113.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 91.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 84.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Atlanta Dream | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 66.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 47.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 32.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 25.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 22.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Toronto Tempo | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.