WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5d5544a38e6fdabd4bf684f9c180636576f02584f476928b61db95ae1b6ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Atlanta Dream, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 12,469$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.27 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 9,954$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.21 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 8,522$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.95 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 7,146$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 5,703$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.55 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,843$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.1 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,683$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.07 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…d66abacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,497$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,327$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.96 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 1,244$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.32 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 890.14$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.17 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 880.08$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 865.8$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 756.46$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 429.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 375$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 266$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 231.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo | 30c | 99.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 87.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 77.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 43.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 34.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Atlanta Dream | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Atlanta Dream | 61c | 19.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.