WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f6bb71a652febec183576916d7d692ddf2321425ab84e5bf5e16e8f2c44932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 21,505$10,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,638.9 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 10,956$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 7,275$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.26 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 2,181$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.61 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 74c | 731.13$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 593.26$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 9c | 180.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 47c | 148.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…b45abacked Over | 52c | 129.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 52c | 125.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 108.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 27c | 38.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 62c | 38.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…44c6backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 52c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.