WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7fb732140ec8dc308c0079f1351c5fea0bfd6909be778afa9ed1d74354c692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 56c | 25,472$14,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,165.76 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.63 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 8,921$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 2,084$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.44 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,469$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.29 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 1,394$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 840$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 730.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.35 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 249.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 64c | 190.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 13c | 103.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 13c | 103.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 13c | 95.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 68.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 43.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 47c | 34.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 47c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.