WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782564f9eab808b967f6b83c83166fb040064acd20a8c9059a4ee423abcd0005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 290,657$153,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,064.33 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 43,411$20,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,733.48 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 25,777$12,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,517.43 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 19,850$9,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.27 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.66 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 10,099$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.34 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 51c | 9,568$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.32 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 9,284$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 7,533$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.75 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 6,097$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.74 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 5,572$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 50c | 3,207$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 48c | 3,053$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.75 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked Over | 50c | 2,986$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 2,251$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.72 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,138$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.01 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 51c | 1,473$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.97 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 47c | 1,311$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.83 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 578.59$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 49c | 405$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 366$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 305$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 295$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 291.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 50c | 282.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 151.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 49c | 102.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Over | 65c | 75.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 51c | 69.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 58.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 52c | 56.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 34c | 54.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Over | 49c | 50.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 49c | 50.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 49c | 31.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 31.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.