WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9c93c4c92e8fe2504c2e6d321174cd59896669183493108d26c2e8b77c69d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Toronto Tempo, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Toronto Tempo | 0c | 21,465$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo | 4c | 11,582$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.69 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Toronto Tempo | 9c | 10,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Tempo | 0c | 5,391$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Toronto Tempo | 11c | 5,190$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.91 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo | 12c | 5,145$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.43 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 2,485$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.55 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo | 3c | 1,708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Toronto Tempo | 4c | 1,699$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Toronto Tempo | 4c | 1,602$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Toronto Tempo | 1c | 1,550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Toronto Tempo | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Toronto Tempo | 1c | 1,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo | 2c | 980.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Toronto Tempo | 6c | 900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Tempo | 4c | 849.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Toronto Tempo | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Toronto Tempo | 4c | 599.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Toronto Tempo | 13c | 561.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Toronto Tempo | 3c | 479.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Toronto Tempo | 9c | 465$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Toronto Tempo | 7c | 454.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 445.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Toronto Tempo | 5c | 424.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo | 7c | 398$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Toronto Tempo | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Tempo | 4c | 324$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Toronto Tempo | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Tempo | 8c | 140.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 138.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Toronto Tempo | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dreamthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.