WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fc877c43495ca5ce1d6b0023afa08601abfdcd2796878d113baac46c9fdbc4

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, Chicago Sky
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks	43c	3,910$1,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,215.11	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky	57c	3,518$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.3	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.99	137	46%63 W · 74 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Chicago Sky	52c	1,612$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.55	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd086…5006backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,563$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky	7c	1,560$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.87	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,321$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.82	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky	47c	1,176$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.93	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky	51c	1,163$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.54	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+9.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,061$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.11	320	49.4%158 W · 162 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,021$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.6	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Chicago Sky	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	709.04$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.61	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Chicago Sky	51c	604.98$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.59	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Los Angeles Sparks	54c	566.98$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.81	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Chicago Sky	51c	500$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky	58c	416.06$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.93	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Chicago Sky	51c	294.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-8.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	288.82$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.19	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	254$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.08	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Chicago Sky	58c	234.26$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.96	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Los Angeles Sparks	46c	218.61$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.88	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	47c	214$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	204.65$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.57	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Chicago Sky	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	52%13 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky	52c	187.71$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.61	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Chicago Sky	58c	137.56$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.83	203	40.9%83 W · 120 L	-16.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd194…1d3abacked Chicago Sky	45c	108.2$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	107.46$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.26	411	47%193 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Chicago Sky	44c	106$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.12	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8537…b98bbacked Chicago Sky	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks	42c	90.63$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.57	387	44.7%173 W · 214 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Chicago Sky	58c	85.19$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Sparks	44c	85$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.6	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Chicago Sky	50c	76.46$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Los Angeles Sparks	54c	74$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.14	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Los Angeles Sparks	53c	74$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.49	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Los Angeles Sparks	54c	74$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.81	239	55.2%132 W · 107 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	74$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.57	306	49%150 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Los Angeles Sparks	54c	74$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.41	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky	48c	73.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.41	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Chicago Sky	51c	63.62$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.58	159	38.4%61 W · 98 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky	51c	63.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Chicago Sky	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+7.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Sparks	48c	59.97$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.18	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Los Angeles Sparks	51c	37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	364	54.1%197 W · 167 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0d2…d5afbacked Chicago Sky	52c	34.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	33.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Chicago Sky	59c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky	52c	31.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085a…58a8backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+5.9wins	+0.20per pick	54cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Chicago Sky	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	260	54.6%142 W · 118 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Los Angeles Sparks	46c	24.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	104	53.8%56 W · 48 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Sparks	74c	22.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.84	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Chicago Sky	52c	22.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Sky	51c	21.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	131	47.3%62 W · 69 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago Sky	58c	20.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)this page
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event