WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c074b85b96ac035de60d43fd602c3c50ab0f0798508ee548c033c16c7537110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 50c | 30,090$15,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,004.88 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 12,063$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.61 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 10,590$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 5,019$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.74 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 52c | 3,462$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.54 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 61c | 3,304$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.35 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 52c | 2,971$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.23 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 2,531$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.89 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 1,273$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.2 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 1,090$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.12 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 1,013$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.5 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 880.92$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.84 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 52c | 664.26$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.84 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 52c | 629$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 624.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 52c | 590.52$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 79c | 583$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 52c | 554.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 52c | 516.52$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 4c | 459.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 8c | 373.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 78c | 345.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 239.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 25c | 91.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Over | 52c | 50.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Over | 52c | 50.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 51c | 27.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 52c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.