WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874e5d55a907ae5a8ad16b41f64ca70be3ff4691904f05402c0f54988bc1a8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 48c | 598.76$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.88 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 479.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 452.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 51c | 393.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 376.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 35c | 330.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 268.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 261.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…6d0abacked Under | 52c | 246.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 203.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 131.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 12c | 111.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 12c | 111.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 12c | 110.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 33c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 47c | 89.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Under | 15c | 87.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 77.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 62.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 61.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 69c | 41.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 69c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 48c | 32.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 42c | 32.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 32.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Under | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.