WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa43dbe5155511399da354b29acb33a2ed7f5bde2996ab04710787ed3e5c6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 4,457$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.01 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 3,129$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.21 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 2,109$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.2 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 1,751$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.35 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 1,200$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.65 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 786.51$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.08 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 499.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Chicago Sky | 42c | 399.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 200.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 177.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Chicago Sky | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 145.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 138.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 122.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Chicago Sky | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 93.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 91.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 89.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 83.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Chicago Sky | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 40.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.