WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c42e2957429d5a81b549187514524ff154e5d8abbf86e0af39202b7456becb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Toronto Tempo, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fe8…06c9backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 39,020$19,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,435.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 36,994$18,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,406.22 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 23,728$12,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,552.83 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.29 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 6,168$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.11 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…5bb2backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 5,124$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 2,467$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.99 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,484$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.89 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,120$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.46 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.89 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 879.32$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.61 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 524.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 510.53$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 505$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 379.9$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 359.16$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 310.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 278.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 242$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 43c | 201.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 200.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 186.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 181.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 171.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Toronto Tempo | 59c | 165.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo | 40c | 157.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 153$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 142$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 138.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Toronto Tempo | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 134.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 123.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 103.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 99.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 93.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 93.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun | 61c | 84.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 67.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 61.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 59.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Toronto Tempo | 60c | 59.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Connecticut Sun | 58c | 58.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 47.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 46.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 46.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 46.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 43.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 42.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Connecticut Sun | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Toronto Tempo | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 21.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)this page
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut SunToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.