WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03d873f1d0a65c3d653e291c2dd3138bce15cfccc879209d5f9f69ee4cfd8dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 49c | 10,509$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 8,551$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.66 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 7,915$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.94 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 53c | 7,881$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.17 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,413$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,300$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.94 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,265$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 807.5$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.39 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 796.14$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.21 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 67c | 734$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 68c | 562.34$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 546$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 452.23$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 421.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 397.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Under | 47c | 178.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…67dcbacked Over | 48c | 130.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 106.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 50c | 101.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 93.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 92.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 92.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 32c | 70.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 68.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 54.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 30c | 53.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 51.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 43.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 40c | 41.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…2ae8backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 42c | 41.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 61c | 38.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 38c | 37.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 34.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 48c | 27.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 26.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Under | 54c | 25.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5this page
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut SunToronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.